Data Points: Bentleyville A

Data Points: Bentleyville A

Data Points: Bentleyville A

Understanding the numbers in the Chagrin Gateway

Each week, we’re going to try to explore a precinct in our club area to better understand the electorate and identify keys to victory others might be missing.

While the March primary not only sorted out the Democratic and Republican fields in Ohio, it provided some insightful data on areas our club can target with additional resources this fall. One area we’re taking a deeper look at this week is Bentleyville.

Bentleyville has only one precinct—Bentleyville A—with 722 registered voters. Of that count, 126 are registered Democrats, 137 are registered Republicans and 461 are unaffiliated.

In this year’s primary, Democratic turnout was 56.35% and Joe Biden won 92.42% of the vote. Hardly a surprise considering the top races on the Democratic side were largely decided before Election Day.

The more interesting result occurred on the Republican side where 80.29% of voters cast a primary ballot. There, 50% of REPUBLICAN VOTERS voted for Nikki Haleyafter she dropped out of the race. More notable, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy secured a combined 8%, leaving Donald Trump with just under 42% of the GOP vote in Bentleyville. Again, keep in mind that this is a Republican-leaning precinct, with more registered Republicans than Democrats…but it went overwhelmingly against the former president.

Bentleyville wasn’t the only city in the county where Haley landed more than 50% of the registered Republicans. Orange Village and Shaker Heights did as well—although both have a higher number of left of center voters and vote heavily Democratic. But again, these are all areas where more than half of Republican voters are saying NO to Donald Trump.

The Bentleyville number shows that our club, like in 2020 and 2022, has a real opportunity to engage persuadable Republicans to continue voting against Donald Trump and join our coalition. This was central to our work in the past two elections and will continue to be the case this fall. Yes, this is a turnout election year. But, we absolutely should not—and frankly, cannot—rely on just Democratic votes when there are so many others who are looking for a place to stand in November.

In the News

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

On April 1, 2025 Susan Crawford won her seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court despite Elon Musk having spent millions of dollars and making personal visits to Wisconsin trying to defeat her. She not only won, she won by a 10 percent margin.

Ohio GOP threatening to kick Biden off the ballot

Ohio GOP threatening to kick Biden off the ballot

Ohio GOP threatening to kick Biden off the ballot

With Florida now in play, is the Ohio GOP nervous about the Buckeye State?

This weekend, several news outlets are reporting that Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose—who finished a distant third in the March Republican Senate primary—is now turning his focus to keeping Joe Biden off the ballot in Ohio this fall to remove any possibility of the president flipping Ohio blue again.

According to NBC News, LaRose, the chief elections officer in the state, is attempting to use a technicality that has been ignored by both parties for decades to automatically hand the state to former president Trump. In a letter to Ohio Democratic Party Chair Liz Walters, LaRose suggested that because the Democratic National Convention is August 19, a week after the August 7 deadline to certify a candidate, that it would be too late for Biden to appear on the ballot.

The only other option for keeping Biden on the ballot would be for the state legislature to create an exemption by May 9—which seems unlikely considering the heavily MAGA composition of the body. Let’s not forget that these are the same folks who tried to construct barriers in an attempt to deter supporters of reproductive rights last year.

Of course, this ballot deadline technicality has been ignored by Republicans in the recent past when it suited their own needs. The 2020 Republican National Convention was held August 24. The 2012 convention was August 27-30. And the 2008 nominating convention for John McCain and Sarah Palin was held as late as September 4.

Stay tuned…

In the News

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

On April 1, 2025 Susan Crawford won her seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court despite Elon Musk having spent millions of dollars and making personal visits to Wisconsin trying to defeat her. She not only won, she won by a 10 percent margin.

Order those yard signs early!

Order those yard signs early!

Order those yard signs early!

Reserve signs for your favorite candidates and help us organize for the fall

With the 2024 ticket now set, the early work is underway. Help us identify signage needs early by requesting the signs of your favorite contested candidates—from president to local judges.

Take a moment to review our order form (only contested races shown) and consider a “Take 3” approach for your yard with one for Biden, one for Sherrod Brown and one for a favorite down ballot candidate. Of course, you can request a sign for every candidate if your yard is large enough.

As we gather requests, we ask that you please consider making a $5 contribution for each Biden and Sherrod Brown sign. This early investment will allow us to place an order early and avoid delays that occur closer to the election. When completing the form, you’ll be redirected to the contribution page for our yard sign drive. All funds will be used to purchase signs, so additional contributions are appreciated.

In the News

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

On April 1, 2025 Susan Crawford won her seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court despite Elon Musk having spent millions of dollars and making personal visits to Wisconsin trying to defeat her. She not only won, she won by a 10 percent margin.

Gun Safety Activists Detail Progress and Legislative Challenges

Gun Safety Activists Detail Progress and Legislative Challenges

Gun Safety Activists Detail Progress and Legislative Challenges

Moms Demand Action volunteers speak to Chagrin Gateway Dems

If you couldn’t attend our March meeting, you missed a great presentation from Kathleen McGorray and Laura Pulliam of the Cleveland chapter of Moms Demand Action as they discussed their organization, their mission and the steps they are taking to help advance gun safety legislation. At the moment, there are a number of bills in committee—where they are likely to stay without constituent pressure or a change in the composition of the legislature.

Among the bills are:

Interested in tracking any or all of these bills? Create an account on the Ohio General Assembly website and you’ll receive updates as they occur. To learn more about the co-sponsors of these bills, or contact their committee chairs, please visit the Ohio House of Representatives website.

In the News

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

On April 1, 2025 Susan Crawford won her seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court despite Elon Musk having spent millions of dollars and making personal visits to Wisconsin trying to defeat her. She not only won, she won by a 10 percent margin.

Tuesday’s Results Set the Table for November

Tuesday’s Results Set the Table for November

Tuesday’s Results Set the Table for November

Democratic Party slate now set

The 2024 Democratic slate is now set. Tuesday night’s results cleared the field and resulted in a unified ticket for November. Overall, while there were many races where only one Democrat qualified for the ballot, several competitive campaigns made for a spirited election season. Here are the winners of those races:

Katie O’Neill emerged with 56% of the vote against Oakwood Councilman Chris Callender in the race for State Senate. O’Neill will face off against MAGA favorite Jerry Cirino in the fall. Cirino’s aggressive anti-women and anti-public education stances make him vulnerable in a largely swing District 18—which includes Pepper Pike, Hunting Valley, Moreland Hills, Chagrin Falls and Bentleyville from our club area.

Lisa Forbes, a judge on the 8th District Court of Appeals will be seeking the only open seat on the Ohio Supreme Court this fall as she defeated Judge Terri Jamison in the primary with 63% of the vote statewide.

Carl Mazzone fought back a controversial challenge from Judge Nancy Russo, who attempted to switch seats to allow her to stay on the bench longer than ner current term allows. Mazzone, the endorsed candidate, secured 61% of the vote in decisive fashion. Mazzone is unopposed in the fall and will begin his term on January, 6, 2025.

In a race where no candidate was endorsed, and one of the three, Mollie Ann Murphy, was included in a mailing suggesting that she was endorsed by the Democratic party, Murphy, with 36.74%, snuck past Fallon Marie Radigan (33.41%) and Ray Tarasuck (29.85%). Radigan and Tarasuck were monthly attendees at our club meetings. Murphy has not appeared before our club to date.

In the three-way primary for the Court of Common Pleas general division (12/31/2026), Democratic Party endorsed candidate Kira Krivosh earned 52% of the vote over Fallon Kilbane McNally (26.77%) and Jennifer McTernan (21.22%). Krivosh and McTernan were monthly guests at our club meetings. Kilbane McNally never attended a single club meeting.

Longtime Juvenile Court Judge Alison Nelson Floyd handily defeated her opponent, Joseph O’Malley 69.22% to 30.78%

Cuyahoga County Prosecutor Michael O’Malley defeated Matthew Ahn 59% to 40.60%. O’Malley will have an opponent this fall, although the Cuyahoga GOP had to fall back on running a write-in candidate as no one filed petitions in the race.



In the News

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

Why It Matters: Do Elections Matter?

On April 1, 2025 Susan Crawford won her seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court despite Elon Musk having spent millions of dollars and making personal visits to Wisconsin trying to defeat her. She not only won, she won by a 10 percent margin.